I think I would agree with you more if it actually worked. The problem is this government "cushion" you speak of - it doesn't work. It's a very ineffective use of the resources in an economy. It's simply one of those things where your theory doesn't translate into practice. Part of the reason is that the government does not generally participate effectively in price discovery - especially for labour, and also for capital. The rest of the economy can react effectively to an increase in the supply of labour (ie recessionary unemployment) by hiring people cheaper and normalizing ROI to some degree. This is why we can make money on oil at $50 or whatever - paycuts.Originally posted by zhao
Well, I can agree with most of that.
Yes, if you are looking at just the math, quick and dirty corrections have ended depressions quickly. In a big depression leave it be economics is now currently the popular opinion. My example of what happened during the great depression and after ww2 is game, set, and match on proof of laissez-faire economics working.
I'm not disagreeing that your ideology gets results, but I do not like dealing in absolutes. If all your solutions involve a round peg, occasionally you'll be dealt a problem with a square hole and it wont work. (I personally think this recession is a bit of a square hole)
Just because there is a recession caused by someone manipulating the price of oil to kill off competition/ regain market share, doesn't mean there is anymore fat that needs to be cut out of the economy than there normally is. You also need to insulate certain sectors because they take too long to rebuild your skilled workforce/companies/infrastructure in them. You don't need to prop up Joe's oil service company, but you don't close down the university of Calgary because you need to trim some fat and it is running at a loss. You prop that thing up because you need it in the long term.
Even if you do not agree with increasing government projects to flatten the dip in the economy, most people would probably agree when prices are low, that's when it makes the most sense to buy. What a great time to buy, provided we dont turn into detroit v2.0.
There is also an argument for stability vs instability. Huge quick corrections sure cause a lot of instability. While government spending can drag things out, it avoids the economy hitting extreme lows, and makes things more stable. Stability is good for an economy in the long term; its good for future investment, its good for a lot of things.
But the government literally has zero mechanism to take advantage of cheap labour for the things that matter (ie permanent employees). the outcome of government services is not only government waste, but the stickiness of past waste in addition to the increased RATE of waste. Do you see what happens when we suggest pay cuts for nurses or teachers?