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Thread: Official Short-term Investments Thread

  1. #23221
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    Originally posted by davidI


    If you're in it for the short term, it's probably a bad trade. This time, next year, mark my words (unless a bear market sets in) you'll be a huge winner. I've got 700 shares into CNRL at these levels, which is a decent percentage of my portfolio. It's a good value buy. Trust me.
    Yeah, long term. I got in at around 37 because I thought I was getting pretty good value too. Thanks

  2. #23222
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    The issue with CNQ, COS, SU, CVE, CPG ect ect is they are all selling into the midwest market and getting royally bent over in the process. Syncrude is only getting $92/bbl today for a superior product to WTI or Brent because of the market the product is locked into. There are not enough pipelines into the states in either volume or quantity and the NW doesn't have enough refining capacity to keep up with supply.

    The Seaway pipeline is only going to debottle-neck 140k/day of supply in Q2 2012 (to put this in perspective, Syncrude has 1 coker down + CNRL down =~220k/day). In 2013 the seaway expansion is supposedly going to be ~400k/day but how much do you want to bet that this increase flow will only really effect the WTI price. The majority of the keystone XL will be built in 2015 at the absolute earliest and any significant pipeline to the west coast will probably take another ten years. This is likely not a short term problem and will probably put a ceiling on share prices for a while (aka many months if not years).

    Not doom and gloom, just my thoughts. I'm getting railed just as hard as many of you. I'll agree they are all getting significantly oversold at current levels.

  3. #23223
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    Originally posted by davidI


    If you're in it for the short term, it's probably a bad trade. This time, next year, mark my words (unless a bear market sets in) you'll be a huge winner. I've got 700 shares into CNRL at these levels, which is a decent percentage of my portfolio. It's a good value buy. Trust me.
    Are you picking any more up on the back up? Seems like 34 is a good support

  4. #23224
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    Originally posted by Euro_Trash


    Are you picking any more up on the back up? Seems like 34 is a good support
    I don't see a lot of support at 34, but that could be the bounce point. The trend is uglier than I expected - though overall market sentiment hasn't been helping.

    I'll wait until it's found bottom and then look to buy another 300-500 shares.

    RSI is indicating it's oversold so hopefully we'll see a reversal soon.

  5. #23225
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    Bought HND (gas double bear ETF) for a quick week plus trade with expectation of gas heading to $2. Straight gambling.

    Also picked up TCAP and PNNT last week in my TFSA. Both have a 10% dividend with a proven 5 year track record of maintaining it. Something worth looking into maybe? Only thing is they're American, so you pay a 15% witholding tax on dividend.

    Rumors flying around that REL has completed their winter program and will announce news this week or next week. It should be noted however that I've heard these before only to see no news from REL.

  6. #23226
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    What do you guys think of dgc or tou?

    I've played dgc a feel times for 10% gains and it looks like it prime for that again

    Tou, would be more of long term play (6 mths - 1 yr)

  7. #23227
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    SMF.TO dropped a lot during the past couple of days. Looks like a good buy at this point.

  8. #23228
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    Just added 1k of dgc at $24.54 and 3k of smf at $5.22
    See what happens.
    Sold avl at 2.86.
    Now in the red in npk. Lol. Pos stock. If it drops 5% or more, I will double my position.

  9. #23229
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    REL got bought today:
    http://tmx.quotemedia.com/article.ph...&qm_symbol=REL

    Crescent Point offering ~$0.362/share. Made an easy 30% from my average buy price, but I think it's worth $0.42/share ++, so I'm voting all my shares "no."

  10. #23230
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    Originally posted by Feruk
    REL got bought today:
    http://tmx.quotemedia.com/article.ph...;qm_symbol=REL

    Crescent Point offering ~$0.362/share. Made an easy 30% from my average buy price, but I think it's worth $0.42/share ++, so I'm voting all my shares "no."
    Nice! I was hesitating on buying for the last couple of weeks for no reason other than I dont like making money.

  11. #23231
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    Vt halted. Even after they shot up I was thinking of buying in the $14s.
    Be interesting to see what news comes out

  12. #23232
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    Originally posted by Feruk
    REL got bought today:
    http://tmx.quotemedia.com/article.ph...;qm_symbol=REL

    Crescent Point offering ~$0.362/share. Made an easy 30% from my average buy price, but I think it's worth $0.42/share ++, so I'm voting all my shares "no."
    I'll be voting no as well. This is bullshit.

  13. #23233
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    Originally posted by Feruk
    REL got bought today:
    http://tmx.quotemedia.com/article.ph...;qm_symbol=REL

    Crescent Point offering ~$0.362/share. Made an easy 30% from my average buy price, but I think it's worth $0.42/share ++, so I'm voting all my shares "no."

    Originally posted by CMW403


    I'll be voting no as well. This is bullshit.
    congrats on the buyout.

    but LOL at you guys thinking your vote means anything at the buyout.

  14. #23234
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    I think my vote means almost nothing, but they need 66.67% support and they've only got 23% on board thus far. Not gonna let me shares auto vote yes on this one. Lots of pissed off people posting on the Stockhouse boards, some of which have significantly bigger positions than I do. The offer is below 100,000/flowing (they are almost 100% LIGHT SWEET OIL) and ignores their 300 sections of land! While I don't expect it, I would not be shocked to see either Tundra or Fort Calgary Resources comes in with a counter-offer.

  15. #23235
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    ^so assume they already have the 23% on the board, and they only need another 10%. I'll bet you your holdings that the more than 10% is held by institutions that are more than ready to vote yes. Crescent easily could crush any counter offer by Tundra or Fort Calgary.

    But who knows... stranger things have happened.

  16. #23236
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    Originally posted by in*10*se





    congrats on the buyout.

    but LOL at you guys thinking your vote means anything at the buyout.
    Thanks bro LOLOLOLoLO

  17. #23237
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    Nice work on REL boys!! Wish I'd found the time to look at it sooner.

    CPG's definitely using their inflated share price to make acquisitions.

    Anyone know of other shops they're likely after?

  18. #23238
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    Originally posted by davidI
    Nice work on REL boys!! Wish I'd found the time to look at it sooner.

    CPG's definitely using their inflated share price to make acquisitions.

    Anyone know of other shops they're likely after?
    No idea, but I'll be getting rid of my CPG as soon as WSX goes through and whenever the bidding war ends on REL

  19. #23239
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    Time to get in on RRX!

    In accordance with the Arrangement, Wild Stream shareholders received, for each Wild Stream Share held, consideration consisting of: (i) 0.17 of a common share of Crescent Point; (B) 1 common share of Raging River ("Raging River Share"); and (C) 0.2 of a Raging River warrant, each whole warrant entitling the holder to purchase one Raging River Share at an exercise price of $1.61 per share until 4:30 p.m. (Calgary time) on April 16, 2012.

    The Raging River Shares and Raging River Warrants have been conditionally approved for listing by the TSX Venture Exchange. Trading in respect of the Raging River Shares and Raging River Warrants is expected to commence on or about March 16, 2012, under the symbol "RRX" and "RRX.WT", respectively.

  20. #23240
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    ^already in.

    how exactly do you exercise your warrants before April 16?

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