Official Short-term Investments Thread

[Red@8]

Originally posted by bitteeinbit

Not sure why I chickened out. I was looking at 2 year charts but freaked out when it barely dipped below my buy price. I knew the longterm upside was huge.. Oh well. [/B]

You called this one for sure!

I traded it a couple of times for a moderate profit and have watched it for quite some time now. Its been a rock from the $7's not so long ago.

I always look at this one and its in the green and wish it was my oil play instead of CNQ, which has been on a steady slide. Although I think my complaining about CNQ will fall on deaf ears here as a lot of people on this board are in the red on that one.

[davidI]

Originally posted by Red@8

I always look at this one and its in the green and wish it was my oil play instead of CNQ, which has been on a steady slide. Although I think my complaining about CNQ will fall on deaf ears here as a lot of people on this board are in the red on that one.

CNQ will come back with a vengeance at some point. Half my position got stopped out at a loss and I will be looking to get back in once the market is looking better.

Seasonality for E&Ps is ending, and I would not be surprised to see oil below $100 again soon.

[Red@8]

Originally posted by davidI


CNQ will come back with a vengeance at some point. Half my position got stopped out at a loss and I will be looking to get back in once the market is looking better.

I have no doubt I'll be in the green at some point on it. Until then I'll patiently wait it out and occasionally avg down along the way.

[Feruk]

Originally posted by borN
I cover these guys, so won't say much. But like many companies, TOL's reserves gone down predicated primarily on natural gas pricing. The oil reserves haven't increased much on a proved basis, but they now account for a lot more of the reserve base as a whole (and the prolific oil plays its in is the main growth story here). A lot of upside to come hopefully with the Dunvegan and Cardium ramping up...

The market was just trash today, so lets see what happens when the market rebounds!

You don't see any issues with them spending $30 million and not even being able to keep up with decline? Yes they may have gone from gas to oil exploration, but anyone should be able to keep up with declines when you spend $30MM and have a corporate production the size of one of your supposed Dunvegan IP's!

I have no doubt you're right about the gas write down, as the same appears true for every company. My other issue with their reserves is (it appears) on the oil, they are booking one PUD and two PA locations for every PDP location. I know many of the micro caps do it, but it prevents me from taking their reserves seriously.

[997TT]

Actually up marginally on a few plays now and getting close to break even on others. Lol
Even at the risk of selling too soon I'm gonna move to a bigger cash positions.

[davidI]

^You've got balls man. I really don't know what to think right now. I may play around with some trades and trailing stops.

I think earnings may provide positive upside, but Europe may fuck as all again hard.

I love the TSX Composite chart right now - so scattered and hectic compared to the S&P. Just don't know what to think!

[997TT]

^ I'm just accustomed to losing $$$. Lol
Actually last 6 months have been good. Real good.
Past 4 weeks not so much. Made some bad decisions.
Going to be real selective going fwd as I've done some analysis and talked to a few brokers about the sell in may and go away saying. I think it has some merit personally based on my research.

[ZenOps]

AAPL is up 10% in the pre-market (after being down more than 10% in the last two weeks)

Pretty impressive volatility. I think they now have more cash at hand than the US.

Get your powerball tickets - sorry I mean stock market slips.

[davidI]

Originally posted by 997TT
Going to be real selective going fwd as I've done some analysis and talked to a few brokers about the sell in may and go away saying. I think it has some merit personally based on my research.

Worth a look:

S&P - 20 years
http://www.equityclock.com/charts/sp...easonal-chart/

Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of March 9 and a sell date of June 4, investors have benefited from a total return of 85.05% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 7 of those periods.

Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of March 12 and a sell date of June 1, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 79.65% with positive results in 9 of those periods.

**Results shown are compounded

[Manhattan]

Which investments are good for shorting the Euro?

[davidI]

Originally posted by Manhattan
Which investments are good for shorting the Euro?

http://internationalinvest.about.com...t-The-Euro.htm

You can straight up short the Euro, or look into some ETFs to do so.

[CMW403]

Do I sell or hold GFS? Avg price 6.50.

Please. Someone. Help.

[davidI]

Originally posted by CMW403
Do I sell or hold GFS? Avg price 6.50.

Please. Someone. Help.

I know nothing about the company so I'll just chime in from a technicals perspective.

RSI is showing oversold right now. Current price is around Sept. 2010 support. MACD is heading towards a cross-over to the upside. There is a gap between $6 & $6.20 that should fill.

We're also entering positive seasonality for E&S - usually April 14 to May 17th.

http://www.equityclock.com/seasonality/

I'm guessing something happened to cause the big price drop, but from a technical perspective I'd be looking for the price to get back to the $6 level before bailing.

[troyl]

I had to pick up some GFS shares at 5.45. I might pick up a few more shares in the coming weeks. Like the technology and believe in their story.

I think in one years time we will be trading much higher. Maybe at these levels a major will come looking......

[Akumaz]

any thoughts on CNQ Q1 tonight/tmr?

[slick2404]

Please help.

Should I cut my loses or hold AVL. Averaged at 3.55, Currently 2.43

http://www.google.com/finance?q=TSE:AVL

[troyl]

Bought a few more shares of GFS yesterday at 5.15 and today at 4.34


Edit: That makes my average cost base 5.15

[ZenOps]

Hang Seng down 500 points tonight (Sunday night)

Look for a brutal open monday for stocks.

[Zewind]

Originally posted by ZenOps
Hang Seng down 500 points tonight (Sunday night)

Look for a brutal open monday for stocks.

Sounds to me like a sale!

[davidI]

Excellent. I'm hoping for a massive sell-off.