If banks don’t come to the conclusion that they need to cut their lending rates, observers say the Bank of Canada may act again and slash overnight interest rates further.
“I think what you might see, if the banks don’t pass on this cut, is the Bank of Canada will just lower rates again in the spring to force them to do it,” said one banking source.
That view was backed up by research published Friday by Bank of America Merrill Lynch, which noted that the prime lending rate at banks typically moves “in lockstep” with Bank of Canada adjustments.
“In our view, if banks fail to lower the prime rate, [Bank of Canada Governor Stephen] Poloz may be tempted to respond with another dose of policy easing,” economist Emanuella Enenajor wrote in the report