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Type: Posts; User: suntan

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  1. Replies
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    Sweden ICU admissions are now going down. ...

    Sweden ICU admissions are now going down.

    https://www.icuregswe.org/data--resultat/covid-19-i-svensk-intensivvard

    RE: Experts.

    I suggest you read Tetlock's books.
    ...
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    https://unherd.com/2020/04/jury-still-out-on-swedi...

    https://unherd.com/2020/04/jury-still-out-on-swedish-coronavirus-strategy/
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    You're a male Karen. Congrats.

    You're a male Karen. Congrats.
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    It's the finest care a Filipino can give.

    It's the finest care a Filipino can give.
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    https://covidnearyou.org/#!/ Looks like rage2...

    https://covidnearyou.org/#!/

    Looks like rage2 has it.
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    Where the fuck do I sign up?!?

    Where the fuck do I sign up?!?
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    At this point it's becoming apparent that...

    At this point it's becoming apparent that asymptomatic people do not spread the virus, or if they do it's for a very short period of time.

    Serological testing around the world also seems to show...
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    Nothing like linking to an article from March 27....

    Nothing like linking to an article from March 27.

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    The lockdown started sooner than the portion you bolded.
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    What we are doing does not reduce R0 to zero. At...

    What we are doing does not reduce R0 to zero. At best, it reduces it by half. The long lineups at places don't help and drastically reduce the effectiveness of SD. We are now congregating at...
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    I think you truly misunderstand what the lockdown...

    I think you truly misunderstand what the lockdown is supposed to accomplish.
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    Yes... and they're under lockdown.

    Yes... and they're under lockdown.
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    Why?

    Why?
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    Switzerland and the Netherlands should be on that...

    Switzerland and the Netherlands should be on that chart but that doesn't support the alarmism.
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    Sweden had barely any sort of lockdown, they seem...

    Sweden had barely any sort of lockdown, they seem to be faring well. We'll see what their numbers are tomorrow, it's clear no one filed reports over the holidays.

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    Has...
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    Some fun info. This guy's Twitter is very...

    Some fun info.

    This guy's Twitter is very good: https://twitter.com/trvrb

    A few European countries are lifting some restrictions. Schools are re-opening.

    Sweden's entire population is now...
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    Nah, it shows that you have a greater than zero...

    Nah, it shows that you have a greater than zero percent chance of dying from this disease and therefore we should be in lockdown forever.
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    In other words, once that EMS guy got back to the...

    In other words, once that EMS guy got back to the hospital, he was told by his hospital admin to make sure that he code the deaths as COVID-19.

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    Here's a chart from Colorado....
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    Same virologist also took a look at that Korean...

    Same virologist also took a look at that Korean one, it's total BS.

    These papers are all at preprint stage, and Asian ones are notorious for being of very poor quality.

    The testing kits are...
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    I have been following a virologist on Twitter,...

    I have been following a virologist on Twitter, the Chinese studies on it are total junk according to him.
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    Well then the vulnerable are fucked, because...

    Well then the vulnerable are fucked, because making a vaccine for a coronavirus has never worked out.

    And if it is 5.7, then the entire states of California and Oregon have long had herd immunity,...
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    Hey here's California back in 2018. That was a...

    Hey here's California back in 2018. That was a really bad flu year.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-5279685/California-hospitals-looks-like-flu-war-zone.html
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    Are you seriously using edge cases to prove how...

    Are you seriously using edge cases to prove how dangerous it is?

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    Alright, kids stay home, parents work. Parents get sick, bring virus to home.

    Wait, what?
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    More will not die. It will not be significantly...

    More will not die. It will not be significantly more. Please stop. Even in Quebec, no one under 60 has died from this. And they're incompetent over there. It's why they need so much money from...
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    There's no real social distancing going on in any...

    There's no real social distancing going on in any community. My friend goes out for bike rides, people are all over the sidewalks.
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    There's basically no social distancing going on...

    There's basically no social distancing going on my neighbourhood.
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    I give you, 2 for 1, cheap!

    I give you, 2 for 1, cheap!
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    Nah. They closed down their funeral homes. NYC...

    Nah. They closed down their funeral homes. NYC has done the same thing, there's people freaking out because semi trucks are taking bodies out of hospitals en mass, instead of funeral homes taking...
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    But that's the point. The young health parents...

    But that's the point. The young health parents get it, then suddenly you're that much closer to herd immunity. Kids provide a small viral load because their immune systems are so immensely strong....
  29. Poll: Are you my mummy?

    Are you my mummy?
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    There's really no way to abuse the CREB, the CRA...

    There's really no way to abuse the CREB, the CRA will have a record of everyone that got it. If they don't file the slip the CRA will simply reassess before they send out the final letter. I missed...
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    Actually I have been working on using AI to clean...

    Actually I have been working on using AI to clean textual data. It's been eyeopening.

    "Why would you want to do that, the data should already be clean."
    "Um..." * person runs away, realizing AI...
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    See this is why I can never hate you, because...

    See this is why I can never hate you, because fuck man when you're funny you are absolutely hilarious.
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    Just a B Comm in Finance and MIS. I've been...

    Just a B Comm in Finance and MIS. I've been working in IT ever since. Being a skeptic in IT is vital. No, AI isn't going to take over the world. It's just better statistical analysis.

    Why...
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    No. Open schools. There is virtually no risk...

    No. Open schools. There is virtually no risk for children. Do the same thing as Sweden/Taiwan. Under 16 go to school. This will build up herd immunity quickly.

    The longer we keep this...
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    I am not smart. I am simply a skeptic. "At...

    I am not smart. I am simply a skeptic.

    "At the heart of science is an essential balance between two seemingly contradictory attitudes — an openness to new ideas, no matter how bizarre or...
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    Contrary to popular belief, many parts of Italy...

    Contrary to popular belief, many parts of Italy and Spain hardly have what is considered to be good health care.

    Italy was admitting patients that had mild cases.
    Their doctors were not using...
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    The IC model was what started it all. That model...

    The IC model was what started it all. That model was written by Neil Ferguson himself, in C. That code has never been released. There is code available now, rewritten in Python and with bug fixes....
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    Facts have no room in your mindspace. Certainly...

    Facts have no room in your mindspace. Certainly not rational thought.
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    From today's NYC Cuomo's presser: 90505

    From today's NYC Cuomo's presser:

    90505
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    Has to be lifted soon. Economies have to restart...

    Has to be lifted soon. Economies have to restart ASAP. Liquidity is already an issue. We may not survive that.
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