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Thread: 2019 Canadian Federal Election thread - polls and discussion.

  1. #201
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    Will be interesting how this changes the Atlantic Canada projections. NDP was only projected to win a dozen or so seats out there anyway. The bad thing is that a likely minority government will have the greens as a more legitimate coalition partner.

    Screenshot_20190904-053928_Chrome.jpg
    I expect a 10 day lag before this news impacts the poll projections.
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    Its pretty clear its going to be a Liberal Majority or a Liberal minority with Green support.

    Scheer was a terrible choice for leader.

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    Quote Originally Posted by lasimmon View Post
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    Scheer was a terrible choice for leader.
    At least he isn't attacking teenagers on social media.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tik-Tok View Post
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    At least he isn't attacking teenagers on social media.
    Is that Bernier? What a nut case.

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    Quote Originally Posted by lasimmon View Post
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    Its pretty clear its going to be a Liberal Majority or a Liberal minority with Green support.

    Scheer was a terrible choice for leader.
    Yeah, and Trump wasn't supposed to win in 2016 said virtually every poll... it's not over yet, don't believe all the garbage coming out of the media.

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    This is scary if the polls are trending truthfully.

    Wonder what our sorry state of an economy will be like in another 4 years.

    Closed and boarded up for business.
    "The most merciful thing in the world, I think, is the inability of the human mind to correlate all its contents... some day the piecing together of dissociated knowledge will open up such terrifying vistas of reality, and of our frightful position therein, that we shall either go mad from the revelation or flee from the light into the peace and safety of a new Dark Age."

    -H.P. Lovecraft

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    nice box... to bad that nigs face is in it

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    Quote Originally Posted by killramos View Post
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    I am just shocked that a third of our country are voting for weirdo fringe parties...
    I think people feel that is their way of protesting if they don't agree with either of the two big parties, but really it would be better for everyone if they just voted for the lesser of two evils, one of which who is going to win regardless.

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    Quote Originally Posted by masoncgy View Post
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    Yeah, and Trump wasn't supposed to win in 2016 said virtually every poll... it's not over yet, don't believe all the garbage coming out of the media.
    This isn't the USA.

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    Quote Originally Posted by lasimmon View Post
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    This isn't the USA.
    Most Canadians are just as susceptible to the same populist rhetoric Trump pumped out.

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    Quote Originally Posted by jltabot View Post
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    I already got a text today from Sarah the conservative, asking for support. Man, they're starting early.
    Rempel already got all the signs out and started door knocking. She gets my vote anyway.

    Quote Originally Posted by lasimmon View Post
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    This isn't the USA.
    Right.... the same social media bubbles/echo chambers are happening here.

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    Sometimes poor polling gets people motivated to get out and vote. Likely what cost Smith the municipal election. Let's just hope it works in Scheer's favour.
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    Quote Originally Posted by CompletelyNumb View Post
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    Sometimes poor polling gets people motivated to get out and vote. Likely what cost Smith the municipal election. Let's just hope it works in Scheer's favour.
    I thought Scheer is going to pull a Hillary where the base ain't showing up?

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    Quote Originally Posted by lasimmon View Post
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    This isn't the USA.
    That was one example. There have been examples in Canada over the last few years where the polls got it totally wrong as well, 2013 BC election and 2012 Alberta election come to mind.

    If Canadians are willing to accept corruption and deceit on a grand scale by re-electing the Trudeau Liberals, then God help all of us.

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    Quote Originally Posted by CompletelyNumb View Post
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    Sometimes poor polling gets people motivated to get out and vote. Likely what cost Smith the municipal election. Let's just hope it works in Scheer's favour.
    I just hope this recent interest in the Green party (while the NDP implodes completely) attracts enough Liberal votes to create the sweet middle ground for the Conservatives to rise up through. I know of a handful of people myself who voted Liberal in 2015 who are voting Green this time.

    The Conservatives can always rely on a solid ~30% base... it's all about the swing votes and split votes for the win.

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    Dont forget a Liberal majority (or even better a Green coalition), increases the chance that Confederation itself comes under assault. Silver linings.

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    Quote Originally Posted by masoncgy View Post
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    I just hope this recent interest in the Green party (while the NDP implodes completely) attracts enough Liberal votes to create the sweet middle ground for the Conservatives to rise up through. I know of a handful of people myself who voted Liberal in 2015 who are voting Green this time.

    The Conservatives can always rely on a solid ~30% base... it's all about the swing votes and split votes for the win.
    Everybody keep thinking Green as king maker. But I'm betting BQ will make a come back.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buster View Post
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    Dont forget a Liberal majority (or even better a Green coalition), increases the chance that Confederation itself comes under assault. Silver linings.
    Spoiler: it won't.

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    Quote Originally Posted by kertejud2 View Post
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    Spoiler: it won't.
    Wrong. It increases the chance. From 0.0001% to 0.0002%.

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    Quote Originally Posted by kertejud2 View Post
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    Spoiler: it won't.
    This is the best chance you've had about actually being correct in a pointless argument for a long time, I'm rooting for you lady!
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    Quote Originally Posted by kertejud2 View Post
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    Spoiler: it won't.
    It will increase it. Just don't know how much.

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