Originally Posted by
pheoxs
Idk, we're above 300 hospitalizations so we wouldn't proceed forward with reopening under the old criteria anyways and we saw in November that even with the shutdowns and cases drop it takes weeks or even a couple months for hospitalizations to gradually fall. Tbh if its vaccine based we might actually reopen sooner. Before the end of April, Alberta will have enough doses on hand for 40% of the population. It just depends how fast the AB government can manage the rollout and get them into people's arms. If they can manage to pace doses arriving (~40k doses per day) then we could hit the 'new' stage 2 reopening in early May which would I think is similar to the 'old' stage 3 because social gatherings are allowed.
They seriously need to stop fucking making new 'stages' though every time. Make a fucking consistent setup so stage 2 is stage 2 and not just keep changing whats where.
Main reason this has to happen is below. People can cry that 'variants' are being overhyped by the media but AB has the highest per capita in Canada (and higher than most US states that we shit on) at the moment so something has to be done. Though I'd much rather see actual enforcement of the existing rules but most people seem to just not give a shit anymore.
How do you get stage 2 by early May? It requires 48% immune (not vaccinated), that's at least 2,250,000 doses administered and the lag time between vaccination and immunity accounted for. That's notwithstanding the more than likely requirement that the "transition" stage be met as well, which requires the hospitalization numbers from the old steps and cases falling.
In two weeks-ish, Kenney is going to stand up there and say that even though we poked 22% of people, they aren't immune yet, cases aren't falling and hospitalizations are still a concern. Then he'll moan some about the federal government holding Alberta back because they aren't sending enough vaccines and ease nothing.
See Crank. See Crank Walk. Walk Crank Walk.