Curve fitting is hardThis quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Curve fitting is hardThis quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Originally posted by Thales of Miletus
If you think I have been trying to present myself as intellectually superior, then you truly are a dimwit.
Originally posted by Toma
fact.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
And from the low to peak before lock down, the UK infection rate when B1.1.7 took off was about 400% or 4x increase.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
So if we are at 400-500/day without B1.1.7, setting the target to be 2000/day with B1.1.7 seems to be a conservative projection?
The only difference UK locks down after getting wrecked. We are already in a less strict lock down to start with when B1.1.7 starts to show up. Who knows what they experienced applies here.
Doubt it, I’d put more stock in it being a case of the government conjuring up a bogeyman to keep restrictions that projecting based on actual data. All the projections were based on no public health orders and allowing it to run freely, as if he thinks that’s what people have been asking forThis quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
The UK variant was identified in September and we have 20 whole cases, but now that people are starting to demand answers, it’s a huge threat that can’t be contained and will put us into 10k+ cases per day
We need a function on here to remind us of a post in 6 weeks when the projections are shown to be nowhere near correct and the government comes out and says it’s just because the health measures are only delaying the impact of the scary mutations and we need to stay shut down just a little bit longer.
Last edited by FraserB; 01-25-2021 at 06:41 PM.
See Crank. See Crank Walk. Walk Crank Walk.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/healt...297_story.htmlThis quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
It was just a matter of time.
I also see that California lifted the stay at home order and also the curfew so perhaps the CA variant isn't as bad as the others.
It must be. Like that time on April 6, 2020 when Jason Kenney announced to Alberta that the modeling showed a probable outcome of 800,000 cases by the end of summer.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
https://www.alberta.ca/release.cfm?x...517ABC712B807E
Last edited by ThePenIsMightier; 01-25-2021 at 06:51 PM.
Some professional advice from me to the alberta government:
Showing your forecasts to people is just a great way to look stupid down the road. Always dodge that ask, and show other people’s forecasts instead.
Originally posted by Thales of Miletus
If you think I have been trying to present myself as intellectually superior, then you truly are a dimwit.
Originally posted by Toma
fact.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Did you get a PL-Eng to stamp that professional advice? I bet I can find one that'll lecture you about "it needs a stamp".This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Originally posted by Thales of Miletus
If you think I have been trying to present myself as intellectually superior, then you truly are a dimwit.
Originally posted by Toma
fact.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Or Rob Ford say projection was good and business can resume then got wrecked in December.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Yea no kidding, its obvious what the narrative is here and its not C19 anymore. Its going to be the new Super C19 or something else, perhaps Murder Covid?This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Cancelling my gym membership now and going to setup my own. As IF gyms have sweet fuck all to do with any of this. Already signed the change.org petition to reopen basic fitness facilities (not group classes) but doubt anything will happen.
@Toilet_X will do some dream analysis for you.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
My specialty is doing my analysis by TASTE.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
That’s what I took away from it, the excuses will keep changing until weather improves/vaccines are in steady supply again.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
sig deleted by moderator, because they are useless
2021 may not be a very good year either:
"British scientists have said the U.K. variant of the coronavirus that is behind a surge in COVID-19 infections there may be not only more transmissible, but also more lethal – with a mortality risk around 30 per cent higher than other variants.
The U.K. variant — known as B.1.1.7 — is also up to 70 per cent more contagious than other coronavirus variants circulating in the U.K. and has already been detected across the world. U.S. health officials have warned it could become the dominant variant there by March."
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/canad...n2W?li=AAggNb9
Today I learned people still use msn.com
Originally posted by Thales of Miletus
If you think I have been trying to present myself as intellectually superior, then you truly are a dimwit.
Originally posted by Toma
fact.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Rob Ford dead AF.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I was on crack.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Aren't we all?This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I'm usually under it.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote