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Thread: $6.66/$4.44 barrel oil?

  1. #41
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    Now I can finally afford to live out a life long dream.




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    https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimcoll...assive-plunge/

    Interesting article on the us fund that apparently held 25% of the may 2020 futures contract.

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    Quote Originally Posted by revelations View Post
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    Watch the movies BIG SHORT and MARGIN CALL. Very eye opening and easy for noobs like me.

    I believe only 1 banker went to jail after the 09 debacle.
    Trading Places. FCOJ futures!
    Originally posted by SEANBANERJEE
    I have gone above and beyond what I should rightfully have to do to protect my good name

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    Honestly we wouldnt be in this mess if everyone would have listened to me about creating vehicles that runs off of Drakkar Noir. Im pretty sure thats what John Force used to use in his funny car.

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    I wonder what the USA thinks of the SPR now? They probably paid closer to $50 per barrel to fill that sucker up, at is now - it looks like massive overspending.

    At least Canada got a few expensive barrels sold BC.
    Cocoa $11,000 per ton.

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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtsniffer View Post
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    https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimcoll...assive-plunge/

    Interesting article on the us fund that apparently held 25% of the may 2020 futures contract.
    I don't understand this article....USO rolls their May exposure by Apr 13th. So they would've been out of it by now.

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    May is up $32!!! There is hope for the empire!

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    USO halted

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    Anyone bought HOD?? holy shit

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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Rural_Juror View Post
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    May is up $32!!! There is hope for the empire!
    So yesterday really had nothing to do with oil prices even tho it dominated the headlines. It was just a situation where some contracts held by USO got into a squeeze as it came due and they needed to dump it at whatever loss or figure out how to accept oil, which they can't.
    Originally posted by SEANBANERJEE
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    Is it time to convert all fuel to race fuel. Win win for everyone

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    Quote Originally Posted by rage2 View Post
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    So yesterday really had nothing to do with oil prices even tho it dominated the headlines. It was just a situation where some contracts held by USO got into a squeeze as it came due and they needed to dump it at whatever loss or figure out how to accept oil, which they can't.
    I don't know about that. USO already rolled over to the June contract by Apr 14. Yesterday's collapse was on May contracts.
    They probably roll over a week earlier to avoid the volatility of the last few days of trading. The collapse is likely physical in nature.

    That is a strange article that was linked earlier. Of course USO owned May WTI futures a week ago. They were still rolling out.

    According to Bloomberg, USO owned 25% of the outstanding volume of May WTI oil futures contracts as of last week.
    June is collapsing today.

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    Last edited by The_Rural_Juror; 04-21-2020 at 08:16 AM.

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    And WTI is back at $15

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    Quote Originally Posted by benyl View Post
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    And WTI is back at $15
    Hahaha, it sounds like you're saying it as if that's a good thing...

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    May is at $3 with very low volumes. June is at $15.

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    Quote Originally Posted by you&me View Post
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    Hahaha, it sounds like you're saying it as if that's a good thing...
    no, I am under no illusion that Alberta isn't fucked.

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    June is going down hard this week
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    Quote Originally Posted by killramos View Post
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    You realize you are talking to the guy who made his own furniture out of salad bowls right?

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    So if USO was to rolls their May exposure by Apr 13th, but didnt. Would that violate any second rules?

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    From a purely mathematical kind of standpoint, it's neat to watch what happens to the 2 and 3 month out contracts as the current month rolls over.

    And in terms of Alberta, or the industry being fucked, the current month and spot prices are only half the picture. 3-6-9 months out are very crucial for running economics on new wells. If those crash, it's truly Armageddon.

    - - - Updated - - -

    I nearly got a job at a drilling contractor in February. Man I'll bet those places are puckered up hard. Most companies are shutting down rigs as fast as they can.
    Quote Originally Posted by killramos View Post
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    You realize you are talking to the guy who made his own furniture out of salad bowls right?

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    Quote Originally Posted by ExtraSlow View Post
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    From a purely mathematical kind of standpoint, it's neat to watch what happens to the 2 and 3 month out contracts as the current month rolls over.

    And in terms of Alberta, or the industry being fucked, the current month and spot prices are only half the picture. 3-6-9 months out are very crucial for running economics on new wells. If those crash, it's truly Armageddon.

    - - - Updated - - -

    I nearly got a job at a drilling contractor in February. Man I'll bet those places are puckered up hard. Most companies are shutting down rigs as fast as they can.
    I wonder where all the SAGD oil is going to go? can't shut that down.

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