2020 US Election mega thread

[pheoxs]

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Looking like Biden will win presidency, but senate might stay republican controlled. Going to be very hard for him to get anything done if that happens. Hell even the cabinet confirmations are going to be next to impossible. 50/50 would be ok as VP gets to decide any ties but it becomes very tight and in this hypothetical, people like Bernie would wield a lot of power

Looks close though, 49/51 most likely. Kind of unfortunate as that means nothing will happen for 2+ years as the two sides just refuse to pass any legislation again.

[Xtrema]

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Looks close though, 49/51 most likely. Kind of unfortunate as that means nothing will happen for 2+ years as the two sides just refuse to pass any legislation again.

This is what I mean that the system is broken especially against the Chinese that is playing the steady long game.

Then again, I may be reading too much Ray Dalio.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ray-d...Cfw8AnqXmQHvAd

[killramos]

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Off-topic. This makes me so sad. Math is hard. For me anyways. I was on my way to PhD-land until Math 20 hit me so damn hard. It still keeps me up at night.
Out of curiousity. Is your PhD in theoretical or applied Marthematics?

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Also stonks down. SAD!

What stonks are you looking at lol

[Xtrema]

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What stonks are you looking at lol

Breakfast Burrito futures. It definitely went down.....

[The_Rural_Juror]

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Breakfast Burrito futures. It definitely went down.....

Ohhhh yeaaaaa. I double flushed that sucker down 5 minutes ago.

[Mitsu3000gt]

The betting sites have Biden at around -556 / 82% odds to win. Anything can happen still though and it might be days before all the Pennsylvania votes are counted but most of them are dem votes. Trump did get most of the states he needed as well which wasn't too surprising.

Apparently US intelligence has already thwarted Russian and Iranian attacks on the election.

Poor Bloomberg, donated $100M to Biden in Florida and they still lost it

The bigger issue will be that the GOP will probably still control the senate and Mitch got voted in again. As I said before the senate is arguably more important to control than the presidency - nothing is going to get done except by executive order if Biden wins haha.

[pheoxs]

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Little weird if true.

Doesn't seem to be any actual source for this. Just the same images circulating twitter and people reposting it. There's differing comments of saying 'oh go check XYZ site' but when I did I can't find any other reference. Not to mention there's spikes like this in other states going the otherway. Look at Pennsylvania at 20%. Huge lead then boom giant spike and they are losing.

[The_Rural_Juror]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/1...if-wins-434013

Biden looks screwed even if he wins

He also needed the Senate.

But Democrats may fail to realize widespread predictions of re-taking the chamber. That would mean whoever prevails in the presidential race, Mitch McConnell might remain in charge of the upper chamber, retaining his role as arguably the most consequential politician in Washington. In that case Biden would be the first president in 32 years to come into office without control of Congress, another dynamic that would weaken claims of a mandate.

[Tik-Tok]

With the race this close, Trump has already won. Electoral College system and all.

[The_Rural_Juror]

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What stonks are you looking at lol

i wuz short vix >$33, long amzn < $3k, long amd <$80, long nvda <$500 on monday on my fake portfolio.
of course, buying tsla @ 420.69 is a pleasurable hobby.

too busy today looking for online math degrees so that I can dish out the "math is hard" insults during the next election.

[nzwasp]

How come the electorates within states arent divided into dem won and gop won, if you win more than 50% of the vote in any state you get all the electorate seats.

[Mitsu3000gt]

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How come the electorates within states arent divided into dem won and gop won, if you win more than 50% of the vote in any state you get all the electorate seats.

3 states do that but the rest don't. It's just part of their broken system and why gerrymandering often decides elections.

There are also 16 states that give all their votes to the popular vote winner, but they are mostly blue anyway.

[nzwasp]

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3 states do that but the rest don't. It's just part of their broken system and why gerrymandering often decides elections.

There are also 16 states that give all their votes to the popular vote winner, but they are mostly blue anyway.

I wonder if they have a gerrymandering dept that prepares the electorates for every election to game the system for the ruling party.

[The_Rural_Juror]

Trump says he won and I respek his authoritah. Stonks are more important.
J.Pow is going to pow pow da market.

[Xtrema]

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I wonder if they have a gerrymandering dept that prepares the electorates for every election to game the system for the ruling party.

Both sides has been guilty of doing the same when they can.

[The_Rural_Juror]

Can't gerrymander if they just rely on popular vote.

[revelations]

Some observations:

Wisconsin and Michigan, biden is winning by less then 30,000 votes - thought they would have been easy Biden grounds.

PA - trump is leading by 500,000 votes, but 64% only has reported. This is the key place.

The west coast - it was not a biden landslide there (70-80% or more, votes) either, contrary to what the media would like you to think. 40% of people in Oregon still voted for trump.
California - 65% voted for Biden.

(Washington) DC - one of the most corrupt places in America, where there are more escort agencies than McDonalds - went 95% biden. Trump pissed them off good.

[sabad66]

Does gerrymandering even apply for the presidential election? I thought that’s more for House and state legislatures

[The_Rural_Juror]

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Washington DC - one of the most corrupt places in America, where there are more escort agencies than McDonalds - went 95% biden. Trump pissed them off good.

They're not even a real state...like Puerto Rico and Labrador!

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Does gerrymandering even apply for the presidential election? I thought that’s more for House and state legislatures

Not really. It's clear that people in some states matter more than others. Much like Canadian politics.

[ExtraSlow]

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Does gerrymandering even apply for the presidential election? I thought that’s more for House and state legislatures

It absolutely does apply. More in some states than others, but since each state has it's won rules for how votes translate into elector college stuff, yes.