So Nolan, what's your guess for percentage of Canada population that has 1 dose by May 1? 45? I'm not sure what, but something will get fucked.
So Nolan, what's your guess for percentage of Canada population that has 1 dose by May 1? 45? I'm not sure what, but something will get fucked.
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They need to immediately cancel any/all "contact tracing" and redeploy 100% of those people to vaccine centers.
Contact tracing has completely lost its relevance and their effectiveness had turned abysmal. Shift the focus to the thing that works.
Its pretty weak. I know a family where the kid was a close contact of a confirmed case, and was not notified for 8 days. Seems like a long time. So long it's potentially useless.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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Yes, but fixed^This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
It's time to stop everything to do with this and get more needles in more arms. Contact Tracing is pre-millennials prying out paving stones and throwing them in the general direction of whatever thing has given then sandy-vag, this week. Vaccinations are the pile of fully automatic weapons with armor piercing FMJ behind them that they don't notice because the weapons haven't made a statement about their gender pronouns, yet.
Stop indiscriminately throwing paving stones and start shooting things!
May 1st? Probably 25%-30% of eligible adults and we'll be on phase 2d. There is a bit of a lag in terms of doses getting to the province (what I posted above) and how fast the provinces can make available appointments and jab people.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
But I'm hoping at that point we are doing 1-2% of our population per day. (Currently at 0.5% per day). But then again that is when it comes down to AHS/UCP being the bottleneck and we see what they have prepared for
Last edited by pheoxs; 04-02-2021 at 08:53 AM.
1-2% per day would be outstanding. I have high hopes, but low expectations.
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25%-30% seems low. We're at 16.26% of eligible Canadians having at least one dose today. That's 5,200,717 single applications and then 696,128 fully vaccinated, so about 11% of doses administered went to second doses.
Between April 5 and April 25, we are slated to get 6,619,410 doses (including 1,502,400 AZ from the US). We also have 1,548,825 doses received but not administered, for a total of 8,168,235. Assuming the same percentage of doses goes to second shots, that's 7,269,730 more people who can get a dose with vaccines scheduled to arrive by April 25. Add that to what we have done to date and its 12,470,447 people that could have at least one shot out of 31,966,591 eligible adults or 39.34%
Keep in mind, StatsCan has their age break at 14 years old, so people 15-17 who might not be eligible are included in the population number above. To hit that amount by May 1, we need to vaccinate an average of 242k people per day, the average over the last 7 days was 188k. If we keep up that pace, we hit 33.91% by May 1
See Crank. See Crank Walk. Walk Crank Walk.
I was commenting on people actually receiving them though. I think with the significant rise in vaccine arrivals that we'll start to lag further behind in terms of % used for a bit then we'll catch up again. May 1st is probably right in the middle of things picking up pace but I'm willing to bet the large scale vaccination centers will have some delays in their first week or two of operation, which is typically for any pop up thing happening.
By mid May though 35-40% is doable, I just think it'll take a week or two to pick up steam once we are no longer supply bound
I doubt we will see the daily average drop to the level that would represent 25% having at least a single dose, it would mean that we administer about 93k per day on average starting now. Even 30% by May 1 would mean that our average drops to about 145k per day.
Short of serious supply issues, I don’t see how we’d go backwards like that
I’m going to lock in 35.4%, number of doses administered checked the morning of May 2
Last edited by FraserB; 04-02-2021 at 09:52 AM.
See Crank. See Crank Walk. Walk Crank Walk.
My math was definitely off looking at it, too early for this shit. 13.8% right now has first dose and 0.5% (current 7 day average) per day for April = 28.8% of total population if we dont speed up at all, so I'm definitely way under.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Guess I'll switch my guess to: 36.3% of total population or 44% of adult population (31 million) for May 2nd.
Good overview of USA situation, where they are getting very close to the 30% that do not want the shot for whatever reason (religion, freedom, fear of alterior motive, etc). Will they be allowed freedom of movement or employment? Lots of laws about to be tested.
DXY 100
Good to see that pharmacies are focused primarily on getting jabs into arms. Apparently there's an AHS protocol for using any excess vaccine. Nice.
https://calgaryherald.com/news/local...minate-wastage
Highly reccomend that if you are nearly eligible, you get your name on the waitlist for your local pharmacy.
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Highly recommended even if you're not eligible. They were giving it away to everyone yesterday.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Originally posted by SEANBANERJEE
I have gone above and beyond what I should rightfully have to do to protect my good name
Put my name on the waitlist this morning, not eligible by a long shot but I answered their questions truthfully so if I get a call I’m taking it.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
See Crank. See Crank Walk. Walk Crank Walk.
My buddy is 47 and he got a jab. He does have a heart condition but too young to match condition of 2B.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Last edited by Xtrema; 04-05-2021 at 10:30 AM.
Age is now 16+This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I’m a 2b and put my name on the wait list. Shoppers said some days they have 30 doeses some days he has 300. See how long it takes to get jabbed.
Did they expand birth years already?? I checked this morning and AHS and all pharmacy websites I checked still say 1957-1963 to book.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Yeah it varies a lot by location. Wife is 2B eligible (but outside current age range) and I was calling our closer pharmacies last night - they all said they hadn't received any doses since last week, had been out for two days, and weren't getting any more until Tuesday.
Source? AHS site still says "Now booking: Born 1957-63"This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show QuoteHe meant you need to be 16+ to get on the waiting list at Shopper's Drug Mart. They didn't lower the eligibility age for the current phase.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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